With the ultimate weekend of the 77th Cannes Movie Pageant in sight, it’s time to challenge who will get the largest launching pad for the upcoming Oscar season by strolling away with the coveted Palme d’Or.
Based mostly on essential reception, viewers ovations, and talking with a number of sources on the bottom and near the jury members, a handful of movies have clearly separated themselves from the pack — none extra so than “Sentimental Worth,” Joachim Trier’s incisive father-daughter drama that’s turn into the buzziest title on the Croisette.
Distributed by Neon, which is aiming for an unprecedented sixth consecutive Palme win — after “Parasite,” “Titane,” “Triangle of Unhappiness,” “Anatomy of a Fall” and “Anora” — “Sentimental Worth” obtained probably the most enthusiastic standing ovation of the pageant. Trier, a Cannes veteran whose “The Worst Particular person within the World” nabbed Greatest Actress in 2021, appears poised for a coronation.
Nonetheless, might it’s that simple?
Let’s break all of it down of the most important contenders and predictions for the highest awards primarily based on jury dynamics, critic scores and on-the-ground buzz.
“Sentimental Worth”
Kasper Tuxen / Mubi
Palme d’Or
Prediction: “Sentimental Worth” (Joachim Trier)
Bear in mind, this can be a sport of chess. Usually, the jury doesn’t hand out a couple of main prize to a film, so we’re attempting to determine what can win a sure class, if it’s not in rivalry in one other.
Trier’s emotional drama a few lady reconnecting together with her estranged father has moved audiences and critics. The jury, led by Juliette Binoche, consists of emotional storytellers who may heat to the sort of movie reminiscent of Jeremy Robust and Halle Berry. Stars Elle Fanning, Renate Reinsve and Stellan Skarsgård might discover themselves in rivalry for appearing prizes, and the movie’s uncommon mix of intimate storytelling and themes might resonate with jury members like Payal Kapadia and Leïla Slimani.
Runners-up:
- “Sound of Falling” (Mascha Schilinski) – A multigenerational German saga that has caught with viewers lengthy after its early screening. Mubi’s acquisition and robust evaluations recommend it’s an actual contender. (predicted Grand Prix)
- “Nouvelle Imprecise” (Richard Linklater) – Classic Linklater in one of the simplest ways. Critics have lauded its heat, cerebral portrait of inventive reinvention. Zoey Deutch’s efficiency and the tight script hold it in rivalry. (predicted Jury Prize)
- “It Was Simply an Accident” (Jafar Panahi) – Panahi’s first movie since his launch from jail is politically charged, refined and devastating. It would sneak to the highest with Neon behind it and international relevance baked in.
- “Die, My Love” (Lynne Ramsay) – A $24 million Mubi pickup and emotional knockout, with Jennifer Lawrence incomes career-best evaluations. Even with divisive evaluations, don’t depend this one out.
“Nouvelle Imprecise”
Courtesy of Cannes Movie Pageant
Greatest Director
Prediction: Richard Linklater, “Nouvelle Imprecise”
Linklater’s meticulous construction and narrative circulate in “Nouvelle Imprecise” is alleged to be nothing wanting masterful. This may very well be the yr Cannes acknowledges his brilliance. Nonetheless, Jafar Panahi’s understated hand in “It Was Simply an Accident” is true behind, if the jury doesn’t give him a particular award or screenwriting.
Additionally in rivalry: Jafar Panahi, “It Was Simply an Accident” and Joachim Trier, “Sentimental Worth”
“Eddington”
Courtesy of A24
Particular Jury Prize
Prediction: “Eddington” (Ari Aster)
Although divisive (with a low common from critics), “Eddington” looks as if the kind of headscratching flick to win the Particular Jury Prize simply to acknowledge its ambition and experimental edge — an award Cannes has beforehand used to honor polarizing work.
“Die My Love”
Greatest Actress
Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence, “Die, My Love”
Oscar winner Lawrence (“Silver Linings Playbook”) is alleged to ship what many name her profession efficiency in Lynne Ramsay’s feverish love story. Will the jury fall for her uncooked, susceptible, and unforgettable flip?
Additionally within the operating:
- Renate Reinsve and Elle Fanning, “Sentimental Worth” – A twin win is feasible, particularly if the jury needs to reward the ensemble.
- Zoey Deutch, “Nouvelle Imprecise” – Mentioned to be a captivating, razor-sharp efficiency that might carry levity and soul to the ceremony.
“Historical past of Sound”
Courtesy of Cannes Movie Pageant
Greatest Actor
Prediction: Paul Mescal, “The Historical past of Sound”
At 29, Mescal wouldn’t be the youngest winner in Cannes historical past (that continues to be Yuya Yagira when he received at 12 years previous for “No one Is aware of” in 2004). Nonetheless, the Oscar-nominated actor is alleged to carry a stirring portrayal of a delicate soul navigating music and intimacy throughout wartime what many are saying is that this yr’s most affecting male efficiency. This might additionally give him a terrific headstart for Chloe Zhao’s “Hamnet” later this yr.
Different potentials:
- Robert Pattinson’s “Die, My Love” – A risky, magnetic flip that claims to match Lawrence beat-for-beat. Maybe this yr’s Jesse Plemons or Joaquin Phoenix?
- Stellan Skarsgård, “Sentimental Worth” – Cannes juries don’t are inclined to reward supporting turns however the veteran may very well be a darkish horse.
Courtesy of Cannes Movie Pageant
Greatest Screenplay
Prediction: “It Was Simply an Accident” (Jafar Panahi)
Panahi’s layered script weaves political commentary into an escalating collection of small occasions.
Shut contenders: “Nouvelle Imprecise” (Gent, Palmo Jr., Pétin, Masson) and “Sentimental Worth” (Joachim Trier, Eskil Vogt)
Ultimate Ideas
With Neon holding distribution rights to 3 doubtless prize-winners — “Sentimental Worth,” “It Was Simply an Accident” and “The Secret Agent” — the distributor has already performed its hand expertly as soon as once more. Mubi, in the meantime, is making a powerful case with the crowd-pleasing “Die, My Love” and early favourite “Sound of Falling.”
After which there’s the query of who will purchase Linklater’s film.
If historical past is any indicator, this jury — composed of artists who lean towards international storytelling, and a contact of rebel — will unfold the love throughout the sphere. But when there’s one movie to wager on, “Sentimental Worth” holds the strongest hand. The awards will probably be handed out on Saturday.
Full predictions at a look:
Palme d’Or: “Sentimental Worth”
Grand Prix: “It Was Simply an Accident”
Jury Prize: “Nouvelle Imprecise”
Greatest Director: Richard Linklater, “Nouvelle Imprecise”
Greatest Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, “Die, My Love”
Greatest Actor: Paul Mescal, “The Historical past of Sound”
Greatest Screenplay: “It Was Simply an Accident”
Particular Jury Prize: “Eddington”
